CE Europa B (W) vs CD Samper (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

CE Europa B (W)

CD Samper (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.6% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 19.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.5% 1.60 DRAW 24.4% 3.70 AWAY 19.0% 4.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CD Samper (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CE Europa B (W) CD Samper (W)

Shots 8.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CE Europa B (W) CD Samper (W)

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CE Europa B (W) CD Samper (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CE Europa B (W) ↓ -0.60 (-27.3%)

CD Samper (W) ↑ +1.88 (+65.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.