Sparta Brodnica vs Victoria Czernikowo

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Sparta Brodnica

Victoria Czernikowo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.5% DRAW 19.7% AWAY 21.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.2% 1.68 DRAW 21.0% 4.50 AWAY 22.7% 4.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sparta Brodnica

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sparta Brodnica Victoria Czernikowo

Shots 10.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 1.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Sparta Brodnica, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sparta Brodnica Victoria Czernikowo

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.5

Victoria Czernikowo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sparta Brodnica Victoria Czernikowo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sparta Brodnica ↓ -0.06 (-3.2%)

Victoria Czernikowo ↑ +0.77 (+22.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.