KS Lomianki vs Polonia Warsaw II

05 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

KS Lomianki

Polonia Warsaw II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 16.6% DRAW 19.6% AWAY 63.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.0% 5.22 DRAW 20.8% 4.50 AWAY 61.2% 1.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Polonia Warsaw II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.8% win probability, compared with 61.2% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Polonia Warsaw II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

KS Lomianki Polonia Warsaw II

Shots 6.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Polonia Warsaw II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KS Lomianki Polonia Warsaw II

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 1.5

Polonia Warsaw II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KS Lomianki Polonia Warsaw II

The combined recent performance profile favours Polonia Warsaw II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

KS Lomianki ↑ +0.89 (+20.5%)

Polonia Warsaw II = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.