Canuelas FC vs Lujan

06 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Canuelas FC

Lujan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.6% DRAW 33.5% AWAY 37.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.7% 3.20 DRAW 32.8% 2.90 AWAY 37.5% 2.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Lujan

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Canuelas FC Lujan

Shots 9.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Lujan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Canuelas FC Lujan

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Lujan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Canuelas FC Lujan

The combined recent performance profile favours Lujan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Canuelas FC ↓ -0.50 (-13.5%)

Lujan ↑ +0.11 (+4.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.