FC Basara Hyogo vs Arterivo Wakayama

05 Sep 2026 · 07:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

FC Basara Hyogo

Arterivo Wakayama

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.9% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 34.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.0% 2.28 DRAW 27.6% 3.30 AWAY 32.4% 2.81

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Arterivo Wakayama

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Basara Hyogo Arterivo Wakayama

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 15.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Arterivo Wakayama, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Basara Hyogo Arterivo Wakayama

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Basara Hyogo Arterivo Wakayama

The combined recent performance profile favours Arterivo Wakayama.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Basara Hyogo ↑ +0.28 (+14.0%)

Arterivo Wakayama ↓ -0.39 (-12.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.