Geumsan Insam vs Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

05 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Geumsan Insam

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.4% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 14.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.1% 1.53 DRAW 22.0% 4.40 AWAY 14.9% 6.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Geumsan Insam

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Geumsan Insam Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

Shots 8.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Geumsan Insam Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Geumsan Insam has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Geumsan Insam Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Geumsan Insam ↑ +0.17 (+12.5%)

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC ↑ +0.50 (+8.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.