Ayutthaya United vs BG Pathum United

05 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Ayutthaya United

BG Pathum United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 73.3% DRAW 17.3% AWAY 9.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 76.2% 1.18 DRAW 16.4% 5.50 AWAY 7.5% 12.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ayutthaya United

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ayutthaya United BG Pathum United

Shots 11.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ayutthaya United BG Pathum United

Shots allowed 20.5 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.0

BG Pathum United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ayutthaya United BG Pathum United

The combined recent performance profile favours BG Pathum United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ayutthaya United = (0.0%)

BG Pathum United = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.