Nakhon Si United vs Muang Trang United

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Nakhon Si United

Muang Trang United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.3% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 18.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.8% 1.70 DRAW 25.9% 3.60 AWAY 19.3% 4.84

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Muang Trang United

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nakhon Si United Muang Trang United

Shots 3.8 · On target 0.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Muang Trang United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nakhon Si United Muang Trang United

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Nakhon Si United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nakhon Si United Muang Trang United

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Nakhon Si United ↓ -1.54 (-47.5%)

Muang Trang United ↑ +2.82 (+139.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.