FC Iberia 1999 vs Samgurali

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

FC Iberia 1999

Samgurali

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.1% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 22.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.2% 1.82 DRAW 24.3% 3.91 AWAY 23.5% 4.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Samgurali

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Iberia 1999 Samgurali

Shots 14.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 6.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Iberia 1999, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Iberia 1999 Samgurali

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Iberia 1999 Samgurali

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Iberia 1999 ↑ +0.07 (+4.0%)

Samgurali ↑ +0.14 (+3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.