CD Constitucion Unido vs Malleco Unido

05 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

CD Constitucion Unido

Malleco Unido

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.5% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 47.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.9% 3.62 DRAW 25.4% 3.70 AWAY 48.7% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Malleco Unido

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Constitucion Unido Malleco Unido

Shots 14.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Constitucion Unido Malleco Unido

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Constitucion Unido Malleco Unido

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CD Constitucion Unido ↓ -0.58 (-13.8%)

Malleco Unido ↑ +0.28 (+16.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.