Tokyo 23 FC vs Ryutsu Keizai Dragons

05 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

Tokyo 23 FC

Ryutsu Keizai Dragons

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.2% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 21.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.4% 1.67 DRAW 25.1% 3.75 AWAY 18.5% 5.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Ryutsu Keizai Dragons relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 21.1% win probability, compared with 18.5% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Ryutsu Keizai Dragons has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tokyo 23 FC Ryutsu Keizai Dragons

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Ryutsu Keizai Dragons, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tokyo 23 FC Ryutsu Keizai Dragons

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.0

Ryutsu Keizai Dragons has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tokyo 23 FC Ryutsu Keizai Dragons

The combined recent performance profile favours Ryutsu Keizai Dragons.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Tokyo 23 FC ↑ +0.01 (+0.3%)

Ryutsu Keizai Dragons ↑ +1.30 (+34.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.