Al-Nasr Salalah vs Al Musannah

11 Sep 2026 · 16:55

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

Al-Nasr Salalah

Al Musannah

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.3% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 12.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.8% 1.63 DRAW 24.8% 4.00 AWAY 14.4% 6.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al-Nasr Salalah relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 64.3% win probability, compared with 60.8% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al-Nasr Salalah

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al-Nasr Salalah Al Musannah

Shots 12.8 · On target 6.5 Shots 2.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Al-Nasr Salalah, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al-Nasr Salalah Al Musannah

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Al Musannah has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al-Nasr Salalah Al Musannah

The combined recent performance profile favours Al-Nasr Salalah.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al-Nasr Salalah ↓ -0.08 (-4.7%)

Al Musannah ↑ +2.47 (+55.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.