Sur SC vs Bahla

11 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

Sur SC

Bahla

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.0% DRAW 29.5% AWAY 42.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.1% 2.96 DRAW 29.6% 3.10 AWAY 39.3% 2.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Bahla relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.6% win probability, compared with 39.3% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Bahla

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sur SC Bahla

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sur SC Bahla

Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 8.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Bahla has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sur SC Bahla

The combined recent performance profile favours Bahla.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sur SC ↑ +0.16 (+5.6%)

Bahla ↓ -0.05 (-2.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.