Tijuana U19 (W) vs Atlas U19 (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.8 pp

Tijuana U19 (W)

Atlas U19 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 10.4% DRAW 18.7% AWAY 70.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.5% 7.40 DRAW 20.4% 4.55 AWAY 67.1% 1.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Atlas U19 (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 70.9% win probability, compared with 67.1% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atlas U19 (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tijuana U19 (W) Atlas U19 (W)

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 21.0 · On target 12.8

Recent attacking output favours Atlas U19 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tijuana U19 (W) Atlas U19 (W)

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tijuana U19 (W) Atlas U19 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Atlas U19 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Tijuana U19 (W) ↑ +1.15 (+18.4%)

Atlas U19 (W) = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.