Club Unión FC vs Sangre de Campeón

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

Club Unión FC

Sangre de Campeón

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.9% DRAW 17.8% AWAY 69.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.8% 6.23 DRAW 19.4% 4.75 AWAY 65.8% 1.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sangre de Campeón relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.3% win probability, compared with 65.8% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Sangre de Campeón

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Unión FC Sangre de Campeón

Shots 10.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Unión FC Sangre de Campeón

Shots allowed 20.8 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.0

Sangre de Campeón has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Unión FC Sangre de Campeón

The combined recent performance profile favours Sangre de Campeón.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Club Unión FC ↓ -0.41 (-6.2%)

Sangre de Campeón ↑ +0.02 (+1.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.