Arietes FC vs Ecatepec FC

06 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Arietes FC

Ecatepec FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.6% DRAW 12.9% AWAY 78.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.2% 10.40 DRAW 14.1% 6.78 AWAY 76.7% 1.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ecatepec FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Arietes FC Ecatepec FC

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 16.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Ecatepec FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Arietes FC Ecatepec FC

Shots allowed 18.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Arietes FC Ecatepec FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Ecatepec FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Arietes FC ↑ +0.40 (+4.0%)

Ecatepec FC ↑ +0.07 (+5.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.