Rijnvogels vs VV Dongen

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Rijnvogels

VV Dongen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.2% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 31.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.9% 2.00 DRAW 24.5% 3.75 AWAY 29.6% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: VV Dongen

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rijnvogels VV Dongen

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.5 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours VV Dongen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rijnvogels VV Dongen

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rijnvogels VV Dongen

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Rijnvogels ↓ -0.25 (-11.1%)

VV Dongen ↑ +0.60 (+24.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.