Royal U20 vs Aparecidense U20

05 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Royal U20

Aparecidense U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.4% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 21.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.2% 1.76 DRAW 25.7% 3.58 AWAY 22.1% 4.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Royal U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Royal U20 Aparecidense U20

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Royal U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Royal U20 Aparecidense U20

Shots allowed 19.5 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 8.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Royal U20 Aparecidense U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Royal U20 ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

Aparecidense U20 ↓ -0.11 (-2.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.