Emelec vs Manta FC

08 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Emelec

Manta FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.2% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 14.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.1% 1.61 DRAW 25.0% 3.81 AWAY 15.9% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Emelec has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Emelec Manta FC

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Emelec Manta FC

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.0

Emelec has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Emelec Manta FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Emelec.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Emelec ↑ +0.03 (+1.8%)

Manta FC ↓ -0.25 (-4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.