Mushuc Runa vs Leones FC

08 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Mushuc Runa

Leones FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% DRAW 29.5% AWAY 24.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% 2.12 DRAW 29.4% 3.30 AWAY 24.9% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Leones FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mushuc Runa Leones FC

Shots 10.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 14.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Leones FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mushuc Runa Leones FC

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Mushuc Runa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mushuc Runa Leones FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Mushuc Runa ↑ +0.41 (+24.0%)

Leones FC ↓ -1.35 (-25.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.