Orense vs Guayaquil City

08 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Orense

Guayaquil City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.0% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 22.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.7% 2.02 DRAW 28.9% 3.40 AWAY 22.4% 4.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Orense Guayaquil City

Shots 12.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Guayaquil City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Orense Guayaquil City

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 20.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Orense Guayaquil City

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Orense ↑ +0.29 (+16.8%)

Guayaquil City ↓ -0.35 (-7.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.