CA Belgrano Parana vs Atletico Parana

05 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

CA Belgrano Parana

Atletico Parana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.8% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 23.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% 2.02 DRAW 26.2% 3.75 AWAY 25.2% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Belgrano Parana

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Belgrano Parana Atletico Parana

Shots 16.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 2.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours CA Belgrano Parana, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Belgrano Parana Atletico Parana

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 0.8

Atletico Parana has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Belgrano Parana Atletico Parana

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CA Belgrano Parana ↑ +0.42 (+26.3%)

Atletico Parana ↓ -0.73 (-15.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.