CA Mitre de San Pedro vs Sportivo Baradero

05 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

CA Mitre de San Pedro

Sportivo Baradero

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 35.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.6% 2.54 DRAW 26.6% 3.50 AWAY 36.8% 2.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sportivo Baradero

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Mitre de San Pedro Sportivo Baradero

Shots 2.8 · On target 1.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Sportivo Baradero, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Mitre de San Pedro Sportivo Baradero

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8

CA Mitre de San Pedro has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Mitre de San Pedro Sportivo Baradero

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CA Mitre de San Pedro ↑ +0.06 (+2.4%)

Sportivo Baradero ↑ +0.04 (+1.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.