SLH St Pauls Utd vs Conaree FC

06 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

SLH St Pauls Utd

Conaree FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.3% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 19.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.9% 1.65 DRAW 22.8% 4.05 AWAY 21.4% 4.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for SLH St Pauls Utd relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.3% win probability, compared with 55.9% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Conaree FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SLH St Pauls Utd Conaree FC

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Conaree FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SLH St Pauls Utd Conaree FC

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 7.3

SLH St Pauls Utd has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SLH St Pauls Utd Conaree FC

The combined recent performance profile favours SLH St Pauls Utd.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

SLH St Pauls Utd = (0.0%)

Conaree FC ↑ +0.41 (+10.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.