Niki Volou vs Asteras Tripolis

16 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Niki Volou

Asteras Tripolis

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.8% DRAW 28.6% AWAY 47.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.3% 4.00 DRAW 28.3% 3.30 AWAY 48.4% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Asteras Tripolis

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Niki Volou Asteras Tripolis

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Asteras Tripolis, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Niki Volou Asteras Tripolis

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Niki Volou Asteras Tripolis

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Niki Volou ↑ +0.33 (+9.0%)

Asteras Tripolis = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.