Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Salonika

10 Sep 2026 · 16:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Asteras Tripolis

Aris Salonika

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.4% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 40.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.5% 3.00 DRAW 27.8% 3.51 AWAY 39.8% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Aris Salonika

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Asteras Tripolis Aris Salonika

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Aris Salonika, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Asteras Tripolis Aris Salonika

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Asteras Tripolis Aris Salonika

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Asteras Tripolis ↑ +0.09 (+3.0%)

Aris Salonika ↑ +0.12 (+5.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.