KF Vushtrria vs KF Llapi

08 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

KF Vushtrria

KF Llapi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.1% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 39.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.4% 2.56 DRAW 27.6% 3.28 AWAY 37.0% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for KF Llapi relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.6% win probability, compared with 37.0% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

KF Llapi has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

KF Vushtrria KF Llapi

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KF Vushtrria KF Llapi

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5

KF Llapi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KF Vushtrria KF Llapi

The combined recent performance profile favours KF Llapi.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

KF Vushtrria ↑ +0.11 (+4.5%)

KF Llapi = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.