Academia Quintana vs Metropolitan FA

06 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Academia Quintana

Metropolitan FA

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.1% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 36.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.5% 2.40 DRAW 23.7% 3.90 AWAY 37.7% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Academia Quintana relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.1% win probability, compared with 38.5% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Academia Quintana

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Academia Quintana Metropolitan FA

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Academia Quintana Metropolitan FA

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Academia Quintana Metropolitan FA

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Academia Quintana ↑ +0.10 (+4.3%)

Metropolitan FA ↑ +0.08 (+3.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.