Agia Paraskevi (W) vs AO Rea (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Agia Paraskevi (W)

AO Rea (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.0% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 34.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% 2.43 DRAW 27.3% 3.40 AWAY 34.4% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

AO Rea (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Agia Paraskevi (W) AO Rea (W)

Shots 3.8 · On target 2.0 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours AO Rea (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Agia Paraskevi (W) AO Rea (W)

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.0

AO Rea (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Agia Paraskevi (W) AO Rea (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours AO Rea (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Agia Paraskevi (W) ↑ +0.23 (+10.5%)

AO Rea (W) ↓ -0.05 (-1.8%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.