Asteras Tripolis (W) vs AE Kifisias (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Asteras Tripolis (W)

AE Kifisias (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 85.5% DRAW 9.8% AWAY 4.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 85.3% 1.09 DRAW 10.3% 9.00 AWAY 4.4% 21.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Asteras Tripolis (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Asteras Tripolis (W) AE Kifisias (W)

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 4.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Asteras Tripolis (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Asteras Tripolis (W) AE Kifisias (W)

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0

AE Kifisias (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Asteras Tripolis (W) AE Kifisias (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Asteras Tripolis (W) ↓ -0.09 (-7.7%)

AE Kifisias (W) ↑ +8.00 (+61.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.