FK Louny vs TJ Probostov

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.9 pp

FK Louny

TJ Probostov

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% DRAW 19.8% AWAY 33.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.9% 1.87 DRAW 20.7% 4.50 AWAY 29.3% 3.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for TJ Probostov relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.2% win probability, compared with 29.3% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: TJ Probostov

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Louny TJ Probostov

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 15.5 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours TJ Probostov, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Louny TJ Probostov

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 8.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Louny TJ Probostov

The combined recent performance profile favours TJ Probostov.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FK Louny ↑ +0.02 (+1.1%)

TJ Probostov ↑ +0.31 (+10.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.