UAE U20 vs Turkmenistan U20

06 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

UAE U20

Turkmenistan U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 30.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% 2.25 DRAW 25.9% 3.70 AWAY 31.4% 3.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Turkmenistan U20

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

UAE U20 Turkmenistan U20

Shots 4.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Turkmenistan U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UAE U20 Turkmenistan U20

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.0

UAE U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UAE U20 Turkmenistan U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

UAE U20 ↑ +0.04 (+1.8%)

Turkmenistan U20 ↑ +0.24 (+8.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.