Melilla vs Conil CF

09 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Melilla

Conil CF

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.7% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 20.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.4% 1.57 DRAW 24.3% 3.71 AWAY 18.3% 4.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Conil CF has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Melilla Conil CF

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Conil CF, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Melilla Conil CF

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Conil CF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Melilla Conil CF

The combined recent performance profile favours Conil CF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Melilla = (0.0%)

Conil CF = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.