KF Dukagjini vs Malisheva

10 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

KF Dukagjini

Malisheva

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 36.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.3% 2.60 DRAW 29.6% 3.10 AWAY 35.1% 2.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Malisheva

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KF Dukagjini Malisheva

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Malisheva, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KF Dukagjini Malisheva

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KF Dukagjini Malisheva

The combined recent performance profile favours Malisheva.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

KF Dukagjini ↑ +0.20 (+8.3%)

Malisheva ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.