ZNK Donat Zadar (W) vs ZNK Split (W)

06 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

ZNK Donat Zadar (W)

ZNK Split (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 76.4% DRAW 14.3% AWAY 9.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 72.7% 1.29 DRAW 16.3% 5.75 AWAY 11.0% 8.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for ZNK Donat Zadar (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 76.4% win probability, compared with 72.7% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

ZNK Donat Zadar (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

ZNK Donat Zadar (W) ZNK Split (W)

Shots 6.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 2.0 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours ZNK Donat Zadar (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ZNK Donat Zadar (W) ZNK Split (W)

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.3

ZNK Donat Zadar (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ZNK Donat Zadar (W) ZNK Split (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours ZNK Donat Zadar (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

ZNK Donat Zadar (W) ↑ +0.17 (+14.7%)

ZNK Split (W) ↓ -12.50 (-59.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.