Deportes Rancagua vs Naval

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.9 pp

Deportes Rancagua

Naval

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.6% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 21.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.7% 1.94 DRAW 26.6% 3.48 AWAY 25.7% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Deportes Rancagua clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.6% win probability, compared with 47.7% implied by the market. The 5.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Deportes Rancagua has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportes Rancagua Naval

Shots 20.8 · On target 10.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Deportes Rancagua, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportes Rancagua Naval

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Deportes Rancagua has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportes Rancagua Naval

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportes Rancagua.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportes Rancagua ↑ +0.03 (+1.6%)

Naval ↑ +0.06 (+1.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.