Glentoran (W) vs Linfield (W)

07 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +6.0 pp

Glentoran (W)

Linfield (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.6% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 25.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.6% 2.03 DRAW 23.8% 3.98 AWAY 29.6% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Glentoran (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.6% win probability, compared with 46.6% implied by the market. The 6.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Glentoran (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Glentoran (W) Linfield (W)

Shots 16.0 · On target 9.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Glentoran (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Glentoran (W) Linfield (W)

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Glentoran (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Glentoran (W) Linfield (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Glentoran (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Glentoran (W) ↑ +0.30 (+17.5%)

Linfield (W) ↓ -0.30 (-8.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.