Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) vs Renofa Yamaguchi (W)

06 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

Renofa Yamaguchi (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.3% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 33.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.1% 2.68 DRAW 29.3% 3.12 AWAY 36.6% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.3% win probability, compared with 34.1% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Renofa Yamaguchi (W)

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Diavorosso Hiroshima (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Renofa Yamaguchi (W)

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Renofa Yamaguchi (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Diavorosso Hiroshima (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) ↓ -0.16 (-5.6%)

Renofa Yamaguchi (W) ↓ -0.59 (-19.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.