Beitar Ramat Gan vs AS Holon Mor

06 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.4 pp

Beitar Ramat Gan

AS Holon Mor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.5% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 19.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.9% 1.62 DRAW 23.4% 4.20 AWAY 15.7% 6.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for AS Holon Mor relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 19.2% win probability, compared with 15.7% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

AS Holon Mor has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Beitar Ramat Gan AS Holon Mor

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Beitar Ramat Gan AS Holon Mor

Shots allowed 20.8 · On target allowed 10.8 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.5

AS Holon Mor has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Beitar Ramat Gan AS Holon Mor

The combined recent performance profile favours AS Holon Mor.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Beitar Ramat Gan ↓ -0.17 (-9.3%)

AS Holon Mor ↑ +2.40 (+62.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.