NK Noga Triglav U19 vs ND Ilirija U19

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.5 pp

NK Noga Triglav U19

ND Ilirija U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.8% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 36.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.6% 2.17 DRAW 24.3% 3.90 AWAY 32.1% 2.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates ND Ilirija U19 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.6% win probability, compared with 32.1% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

ND Ilirija U19 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Noga Triglav U19 ND Ilirija U19

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 17.8 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours ND Ilirija U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Noga Triglav U19 ND Ilirija U19

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Noga Triglav U19 ND Ilirija U19

The combined recent performance profile favours ND Ilirija U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NK Noga Triglav U19 ↓ -0.08 (-3.6%)

ND Ilirija U19 ↑ +0.50 (+20.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.