Nankatsu SC vs Aries Toshima FC

06 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.6 pp

Nankatsu SC

Aries Toshima FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.9% DRAW 20.2% AWAY 13.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.3% 1.55 DRAW 22.4% 4.25 AWAY 16.4% 5.81

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Nankatsu SC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 66.9% win probability, compared with 61.3% implied by the market. The 5.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Nankatsu SC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nankatsu SC Aries Toshima FC

Shots 19.3 · On target 7.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Nankatsu SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nankatsu SC Aries Toshima FC

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Nankatsu SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nankatsu SC Aries Toshima FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Nankatsu SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Nankatsu SC ↓ -0.12 (-7.0%)

Aries Toshima FC ↑ +1.54 (+36.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.