AS Laranja Kyoto vs Ikoma FC Nara

06 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.6 pp

AS Laranja Kyoto

Ikoma FC Nara

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.0% DRAW 20.9% AWAY 62.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.0% 4.75 DRAW 22.6% 4.20 AWAY 57.5% 1.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Ikoma FC Nara clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.1% win probability, compared with 57.5% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AS Laranja Kyoto

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AS Laranja Kyoto Ikoma FC Nara

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours AS Laranja Kyoto, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AS Laranja Kyoto Ikoma FC Nara

Shots allowed 19.5 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.5

Ikoma FC Nara has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AS Laranja Kyoto Ikoma FC Nara

The combined recent performance profile favours Ikoma FC Nara.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

AS Laranja Kyoto ↑ +1.35 (+39.7%)

Ikoma FC Nara ↓ -0.15 (-8.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.