SONIO Takamatsu vs Lavenirosso NC

06 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

SONIO Takamatsu

Lavenirosso NC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 88.7% DRAW 8.5% AWAY 2.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 85.1% 1.11 DRAW 10.8% 8.74 AWAY 4.1% 23.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for SONIO Takamatsu relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 88.7% win probability, compared with 85.1% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

SONIO Takamatsu has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

SONIO Takamatsu Lavenirosso NC

Shots 22.3 · On target 13.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours SONIO Takamatsu, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SONIO Takamatsu Lavenirosso NC

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.5

SONIO Takamatsu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SONIO Takamatsu Lavenirosso NC

The combined recent performance profile favours SONIO Takamatsu.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SONIO Takamatsu = (0.0%)

Lavenirosso NC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.