KMG Holdings vs Nippon Steel Oita

06 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

KMG Holdings

Nippon Steel Oita

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 81.2% DRAW 12.5% AWAY 6.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 79.2% 1.18 DRAW 13.8% 6.76 AWAY 6.9% 13.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

KMG Holdings has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

KMG Holdings Nippon Steel Oita

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours KMG Holdings, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KMG Holdings Nippon Steel Oita

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.3

KMG Holdings has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KMG Holdings Nippon Steel Oita

The combined recent performance profile favours KMG Holdings.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

KMG Holdings = (0.0%)

Nippon Steel Oita ↓ -0.20 (-1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.