Leon U19 (W) vs Tigres UANL U19 (W)

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Leon U19 (W)

Tigres UANL U19 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.9% DRAW 18.8% AWAY 69.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 11.4% 8.15 DRAW 18.9% 4.90 AWAY 69.7% 1.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Tigres UANL U19 (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Leon U19 (W) Tigres UANL U19 (W)

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Leon U19 (W) Tigres UANL U19 (W)

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Tigres UANL U19 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Leon U19 (W) Tigres UANL U19 (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Leon U19 (W) ↓ -0.15 (-1.8%)

Tigres UANL U19 (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.