Unam Pumas U19 vs Leon U19

06 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Unam Pumas U19

Leon U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 25.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.3% 1.95 DRAW 26.3% 3.66 AWAY 24.4% 3.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Unam Pumas U19

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Unam Pumas U19 Leon U19

Shots 8.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Unam Pumas U19 Leon U19

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Leon U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Unam Pumas U19 Leon U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Unam Pumas U19 = (0.0%)

Leon U19 ↑ +0.67 (+20.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.