FC Pompei vs Virtus Stabia 1999

06 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

FC Pompei

Virtus Stabia 1999

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.4% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 24.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% 1.80 DRAW 23.9% 3.75 AWAY 26.3% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Pompei relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.4% win probability, compared with 49.8% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Virtus Stabia 1999

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Pompei Virtus Stabia 1999

Shots 1.0 · On target 0.5 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Virtus Stabia 1999, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Pompei Virtus Stabia 1999

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.3

FC Pompei has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Pompei Virtus Stabia 1999

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Pompei = (0.0%)

Virtus Stabia 1999 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.