Roma City vs Roccasecca T. San Tommaso

06 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Roma City

Roccasecca T. San Tommaso

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.2% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 25.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% 1.94 DRAW 26.1% 3.50 AWAY 26.8% 3.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Roma City has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Roma City Roccasecca T. San Tommaso

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Roma City Roccasecca T. San Tommaso

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Roma City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Roma City Roccasecca T. San Tommaso

The combined recent performance profile favours Roma City.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Roma City ↑ +0.04 (+2.3%)

Roccasecca T. San Tommaso ↑ +0.11 (+3.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.