AD Cofutpa vs AD Grecia

07 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

AD Cofutpa

AD Grecia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.3% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 57.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.6% 4.33 DRAW 24.1% 3.70 AWAY 55.3% 1.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

AD Grecia has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

AD Cofutpa AD Grecia

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AD Cofutpa AD Grecia

Shots allowed 19.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.0

AD Grecia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AD Cofutpa AD Grecia

The combined recent performance profile favours AD Grecia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

AD Cofutpa ↑ +0.93 (+27.4%)

AD Grecia ↓ -0.24 (-12.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.