Arsenal (W) vs HB Koge (W)

22 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Arsenal (W)

HB Koge (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 93.5% DRAW 4.4% AWAY 2.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 91.7% 1.05 DRAW 5.7% 17.00 AWAY 2.7% 36.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Arsenal (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Arsenal (W) HB Koge (W)

Shots 19.0 · On target 7.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Arsenal (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Arsenal (W) HB Koge (W)

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Arsenal (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Arsenal (W) HB Koge (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Arsenal (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Arsenal (W) ↓ -0.03 (-2.3%)

HB Koge (W) ↑ +2.00 (+5.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.